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Global Manufacturing PMI ô

J.P.Morgan - IHS Markit



  Last update  
  5 May 2019  
   Global  
  Global manufacturing growth remains lacklustre as international trade flows contract again  
 
Abstract

The performance of the global manufacturing sector remained lacklustre in April. Rates of expansion in output, new orders and employment were only marginal, and well below their long-run trends, while new export business fell further.

The J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI™ – a composite index1produced by J.P.Morgan and IHS Markit in association with ISM and IFPSM – posted 50.3 in April, down from 50.5 in March, to register its lowest reading since June 2016.

A later-than-usual release date meant Japan Manufacturing PMI data were not available to include in the April 2019 global readings.

The weakness in the global manufacturing sector was most evident in the intermediate and investment goods sectors, both of which saw production and new orders contract during April. The consumer goods industry fared better, withgrowth of both output and new business accelerating during the latest survey month. Consumer goods was also the only category to see new export work increase, albeit only moderately.

The highest national PMI readings were registered in Greece, Myanmar, the UK, the US and Ireland. Vietnam, the Netherlands, Spain, India and Russia were also among the best performers. The Eurozone PMI signalled contraction for the third straight month, largely driven by a further substantial deterioration in Germany. The China PMI posted 50.2.

New export business declined for the eighth successive month. Decreases were seen in China, the euro area, Brazil, the UK, Taiwan, South Korea, Turkey, the Philippines, Canada, Mexico, Australia, Poland and the Czech Republic.

The rate of increase in global manufacturing employment was the weakest since September 2016, the first month of the current sequence of unbroken jobs growth. Among the larger industrial regions, staffing levels rosein the US, India, South Korea, Italy, France, Indonesia and Brazil, but fell in China, Germany and the UK.

The outlook for the sector was relatively subdued in April. Business optimism dipped slightly and remained among the weakest signalled since data on sentiment were first compiled in July 2012 (fourth-lowest overall). Price inflationary pressures continued to ease, with rates of increase in input costs and output charges both at 31-month lows. All three of the sub-industries covered by the survey saw rises in input costs and selling prices, with rates of increase registered forboth measures sharpest at consumer goods producers.

 

 
     
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Solid rise in new orders drives further improvement in operating conditions
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